Is it permissible to give charity to a questioner if it is more likely than not that he will use it to buy something forbidden?

Question:
May Allah reward you, Honorable Shaykh. This questioner says: If a person asks me for money and it is more likely than not that he will use this money to buy something forbidden, such as tobacco or the like, hmm? He says, may Allah keep you safe: If a person asks me for money and it is more likely than not that he will use it to buy something forbidden, such as tobacco or the like, is it sufficient to rely on this likelihood to withhold it from him?

Answer:
Yes, a strong likelihood is treated as certainty. This is a rule. So if it is more likely than not in your mind that he will use it to buy something forbidden, do not give it to him. Yes.